![]() If we focus on resources measured by wage income or disposable income at ages 30–35 in both the parents’ generation and child’s, estimates are around 0.3 (i.e. The figure shows estimates of intergenerational elasticities: the percentage increase in child resources when parental resources increase by one per cent. We also account for the loss of individual wellbeing due to uncertainty or constraints in borrowing against future income.įigure 1 shows how our measures of intergenerational mobility compare to traditional measures. We account for the vast changes across successive cohorts in the timing of key life events, such as participation in education, marriage, and the onset of fertility that have occurred over the past 50 years. We develop measures of anticipated lifetime resources that individuals expect at each age. Uncertainty about what happens in the future is an important determinant of lifetime welfare. ![]() Life-cycle income trajectories of individuals differ in ways that simple averages do not capture. Our study starts from the simple observation that family resources consist of much more than just average income over a limited age range. A new and more nuanced look at social mobility Moreover, the bias is greatest for children growing up in disadvantaged conditions. We find that intergenerational mobility is substantially overstated in the traditional approach. ![]() We estimate them using full population data from Denmark with intergenerational links in income, assets, education, and consumption. We develop new measures that capture the long-run intergenerational transmission of family influence. 2022) shows that this traditional approach gives an incomplete account of intergenerational mobility. In addition, this practice fails to account for changes in the timing of key life events and income trajectories across generations. This approach, however, does not well capture aspects of lifetime income, such as uncertainty and timing within receipt over the life cycle. Studies typically rely on average incomes of parents and children, measured over common but limited age ranges. Aaronson and Mazumder 2008, Chetty et al. Following pioneering work by Becker and Tomes (1979, 1986), a large and active literature examines this issue by estimating intergenerational mobility in income (e.g. Vandivier 2013, White House 2021) and in academic research. Equality of opportunity for children is a central issue in social policy (e.g.
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